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03/08/2008
www.insidemetals.com
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Vol
3, Issue 5
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In
This Edition...
Precious
Metals Market Update Geopolitical View
Gold
Producer News
Website Updates
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Dear
Brandon,
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This
newsletter will be published next on March 22, 2008.
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IN
THIS EDITION OF INSIDEMETALS
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In
this edition of the InsideMetals Newsletter, we'll
take a look at big oil, big mining, and big trading
strategies, as well as precious metals trends, gold
producer news and recent website updates, which
includes updates on our InsideMetals Quarterly Gold
Stocks ScoreCard.
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| In
This Issue |
| Precious
Metals Markets Update |
| 2007
Silver Nevada Miner Bar |
| Geopolitical
View |
| Whitney
& Whitney Inc. |
| NYSE
Gold Producer News |
| AMEX
Gold Producer News |
| NASD
Gold Producer News |
| InsideMetals.com
Website Updates |
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PRECIOUS
METALS MARKET UPDATE
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Gold
closed at $976.50/oz (London Fix) on March 6, 2008.
This is 2.3% higher than the $945.00/oz (London Fix)
closing price on February 21, 2008, when data for
the previous newsletter was gathered.
Silver
closed at $20.80/oz (London Fix) on March 6, 2008.
This is a 15.7% increase from the $17.98/oz (London
Fix) closing price on February 21, 2008.
Platinum
closed at $2230.00/oz (London Fix) on March 6, 2008.
This is a 2.3% increase from the $2180.00/oz (London
Fix) closing price on February 21, 2008.
Palladium
closed at $535.00/oz (London Fix) March 6, 2008.
This price is 3.1% higher than the $519.00/oz
(London Fix) closing price on February 21, 2008.
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to a world-wide targeted audience
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2007
Silver Nevada Miner Bar - 99.9% Pure 5 Troy
Ounces of American History
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GEO
POLITICAL VIEW
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BIG
OIL, BIG MINING, AND BIG TRADING STRATEGIES
Two
articles in the Thursday, March 6th Wall Street
Journal (WSJ), and a review of their Wednesday,
March 5th, U.S. Markets Sector-by-Sector has
fostered the following observations.
The top 3 sectors for the day show that Basic
Resources, which includes mining was the leading
performer and was up 3.35%. It was followed by
Chemicals, up 1.84%, and Oil & Gas, up 1.73%.
All of these reflect performance by resource and
commodity based businesses.
Not unexpectedly, the 3 worst performing sectors for
the day reflect the U.S. economy and consumer
sentiment. These sectors were Banks, down 1.18%,
Retail, down 0.30%, and Insurance, down 0.28%
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The first article of note in the WSJ, by
Russell Gold should be of interest to resource
investors is that Exxon Mobil Corp. announced that
it plans to spend more than $1 billion per year to
explore for oil and gas. This exploration effort
will be focused in politically stable countries not
usually thought of as being energy rich. These
countries include Germany, New Zealand, and
Greenland.
Application of new technology and political
stability are factors. Exxon will not abandon
regions where it has been traditionally active such
as the Middle East, but higher oil prices have made
it harder for big Western Oil companies to operate
in foreign countries. New deep drilling technology
has opened more of the world's off-shore areas more
amenable to exploration.
Advanced seismic and field development enhancements
will lead to re-evaluation of older fields that have
been abandoned because the easily produced oil was
previously extracted.
The other article is Ann Davis' Glencore Holds The
Key in Vale, Xsrata Deal. The mining industry is
rapidly consolidating. Mining giant BHP Billiton has
offered to acquire rival Rio Tinto Plc in a merger
that could exceed $148 billion, and would create the
third largest corporation in the world. Companhia
Vale do Rio Doce, the Brazilian iron ore giant has
offered to acquire Xsrata for an unconfirmed $89
billion (Reuters, February 21, 2008).
Natural resources trading giant Glencore
International AG, which owns 35% of Xstrata, which
is one of the fastest growing mining companies wants
to exchange their 35% interest in Xstrata for a
15-18% in the new company formed by Vale. Glencore
doesn't appear to be just interested in selling
their interest, it wants to grain the rights to
become the trader of several of Vale's lucrative
metals in the manner it currently markets them for
Xstrata.
While all this merger activity is ongoing, the
Chinese are acquiring positions in Rio Tinto as the
Aluminum Corp. of China teamed with Alcoa Inc to
acquire a 12% interest in Rio Tinto to thwart the
BHP bid that would form a behemoth that could be
very effective at setting the price of iron ore and
other commodities.
All these proposed deals and positions being taken
continue to say that commodities will continue to
climb as the U.S. economy weakens as reflected by
gold approaching $1,000 per ounce, silver exceeding
$20 per ounce, platinum holding over $2,000 per
ounce, and a record low U.S. dollar compared to the
euro.
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Whitney
& Whitney Inc. - A Nevada Based
Management Consulting Firm
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NYSE
GOLD PRODUCER NEWS
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February
27, 2008: Goldcorp Inc (GG) announced that
Barrick Gold Corporation (ABX) submitted a
feasibility study and Project Notice to the
Government of the Dominican Republic for the Pueblo
Viejo project. Pueblo Viejo is one of the largest
undeveloped gold resources in the world. GG owns 40%
of the project, with ABX, owning the other 60%. GG's
share of gold production is expected to be about
400,000 ounces per year in the first five full years
of production at a total cash cost of approximately
$250 per ounce. Cash cost estimates do not include
the potential benefit of a zinc recovery circuit,
which continues to be evaluated. The construction
period to first gold production is expected to be
about three and a half years. GG's portion of the
project capital is approximately $1.08 billion.
February 28, 2008:
Coeur d'Alene Mines (CDE) released results from its
2007 $14.9 million exploration program. Due to the
success and the addition of the Palmarejo Project in
late 2007, CDE has increased its 2008 exploration
budget to a $27.6 million, with almost a third of
that amount allocated to Palmarejo. Palmarejo
production is expected to begin next year at
approximately 10.4 million ounces of silver and
115,000 ounces of gold per year. Highlights from the
program include High-grade drill results from
Guadalupe Norte at Palmarejo, Mexico and from the
new Los Bancos target north of Guadalupe. Nearly
eleven million new silver mineral resource ounces
have been identified in two of five new veins
discovered in the Cerro Bayo District, Chile. At the
new Betty Sur deposit at the Martha Deposit in
Argentina, high-grade silver vein have been
discovered. New silver, gold and base metal
mineralization at the Rochester mine, Nevada.
Favorable results from exploration on the company's
properties in the Lake Victoria Gold Belt of
Tanzania. Full results can be seen in CDE's press
release.
March 3, 2008:
Compania de Minas Buenaventura (BVN) reported that
operations at its four operating mines Orcopampa,
Uchucchacua, Antapite and Caraveli resumed March 1,
2008 at midnight, after the conclusion of a 72 hour
strike, which began on February 27, 2008.
March 3, 2008:
Harmony Gold Mining Ltd (HMY) has entered into two
separate transactions with African Precious Minerals
(APM) and its subsidiary Taung Gold Holdings Ltd
(Taung). Terms of the agreement include 1.5 million
ordinary APM shares and 1.5 million half warrants.
Based on capital raised by APM in the 4th quarter
the share and warrants are estimated to be worth
about $7.5 million. Also, HMY will receive a 1.5%
Net Smelter Royalty on all minerals extracted from
the prospecting right area with a maximum amount
equal to R150 million. In addition to the previous
agreement HMY also entered into earn-in agreements
with APM for the Evander 6 shaft and Twistdraai
assets in the Evander basin.
The agreement calls for completion of a
scoping study by APM within two years with no
earn-in, and. completion of a pre-feasibility study
within three years. At least 70% of the ounces
during the pay-back period in the study must be of
the indicated resource class and three-fifths (3/5)
of the agreed minimum requirement for exploration
work plan must be completed for APM to earn-in 25%.
A full bankable feasibility study must be completed
within five years. At least 100% of the ounces
during the payback period in the study must be of
the indicated resource class and the agreed minimum
requirement exploration work plan must be completed
for APM to earn-in 52%. On completion of the
bankable feasibility study, if both parties agree,
an unincorporated joint venture (UJV) will be
created and Harmony will share 48% and APM, 52% of
the development costs and revenue of the project in
accordance with the economic interests in the
project(s).
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AMEX
GOLD PRODUCER NEWS
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February
28, 2008: Aurizon Mines Ltd (AZK) released
drilling results from the East Block of its Joanna
project, located in northwestern, Quebec. AZK
drilled 48 additional holes totaling nearly 39,000
feet, to confirm the continuity, grade and thickness
of the mineralized zone. Assay results from 40 of 48
holes have been received. Seventeen of the holes had
grades greater than .029 ounces of gold per ton over
a minimum true thickness of 79 feet. Full results
can be seen in AZK's press release.
February 28, 2008:
Canyon Resources Corp (CAU) announced the results of
a 15 hole 4,800 foot drilling program completed in
January at its Cecil R deposit near its Briggs Mine
in Inyo County, California. Highlights from this
program include Hole CR07-5 with 25 feet of 0.039
ounces of gold per ton. Hole CR07-9 with 25 feet of
0.045 ounces per ton. Hole CR07-12 with 30 feet of
0.025 ounces per ton. Hole CR08-13 with 30 feet of
0.032 ounces per ton and a second interval of 50
feet of 0.024 ounces per ton. Full results can be
seen in CAU's press release. These results support
the company's belief that Cecil R, as a satellite
deposit to the Briggs mine could add mine life and
profitability to Briggs if surface and underground
development is advanced.
February 28, 2008: Golden
Star Resources Ltd (GSS) released and updated
mineral reserve and mineral resource update for
2007. Reserves now total 68.67 million tons of ore
with a grade of 0.072 ounces per ton yielding 4.93
million ounces of gold. This represents and 19%
increase over last years reserves.
February 29, 2008:
Apollo Gold Corp (AGT) announced that it has
increased its mineral reserves by over 300,000
ounces of gold at its Black Fox project located near
Timmons, Ontario. Based on this new study, reserves
now total 7.14 million tons that will contain 1.33
million ounces of gold.
February 29, 2008:
Pacific Rim Mining Corp (PMU) has closed its
previously announced private placement financing. A
total of CDN$7,046,550 was raised through issuing
6,711,000 units, consisting of one common share and
one share purchase warrant, with each warrant
exercisable into one share for a period of 18 months
at an exercise price of $1.35. Further details of
the terms of the financing are available in PMU's
news releases dated February 6 and February 19,
2008. PMU has also issued 350,350 warrants and paid
$367,867.50 in cash to certain finders in connection
with the private placement. Each finder's warrant is
exercisable into one share for a period of 18 months
at an exercise price of $1.11.
The shares, warrants, finder's warrants are subject
to a four-month hold period as required per
applicable Canadian securities law, expiring June
30, 2008.
March 3, 2008:
Endeavour Silver Corp (EXK) announced an updated NI
43-101 increase to its year end 2007
reserve/resource at its 3 active silver mines and
projects in Mexico. Silver reserves were increased
by 50% to 14.9 million ounces of silver. Silver
equivalent reserves have also increased by 11%.
Total ore has increased to 1.47 million tons with a
grade of 10.18 ounces per ton of silver yielding
14.889 million ounces. EXK's gold reserves now total
28,684 ounces.
March 6, 2008:
Eldorado Gold Corp (EGO) announced that their
Kisladag mine in Western Turkey re-opened and that
production activities are underway. The decision
rendered by the Sixth Department of the High
Administrative Court in Ankara, Turkey on February
6, 2008 and actions taken by the related government
offices have allowed the resumption of all
production activities at the Kisladag mine.
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NASDAQ
GOLD PRODUCER NEWS
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February
22, 2008: Royal Gold Inc (RGLD) has completed
the acquisition of three royalties from AngloGold
Ashanti Exploration Inc for $13.75 million. The
acquisition includes three royalties: 1) a 2.0% net
smelter return royalty (NSR) on the Marigold mine,
located on the Battle Mountain-Eureka trend in
Nevada, and operated by Goldcorp Inc (GG); a
2.0-4.0% sliding- scale NSR royalty on the El
Chanate mine, located in Sonora, Mexico and operated
by Capital Gold, Inc., and a 10.0% net profits
interest royalty, also on the El Chanate mine. Full
details can be seen in RGLD's press release.
February 28, 2008:
Lihir Gold Ltd (LIHR) is going to proceed with a
major upgrade of its Lihir Island operations in
Papua New Guinea, lifting gold production capacity
to approximately 1 million ounces per year in 2011.
This decision is based off a 12-month feasibility
study. Highlights of this study include: increased
gold production by an average 240,000 ounces per
year over the life of the operation, increased
output over the period from 2011 to 2021 by 2.35
million ounces to more than 10 million ounces,
reduced costs of production by approximately $80 per
ounce following commissioning in 2011 and an
investment of $696 million to lift process plant
capacity to match the current mining rate. Full
results and plans for the upgrade can be seen in
LIHR's press release.
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INSIDEMETALS.COM
WEBSITE UPDATES
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InsideMetals'
Quarterly Gold Stocks ScoreCard: Precious
metals investors are now able to purchase online,
for $49.95, InsideMetals' Gold Stocks ScoreCard
which presents a 34 company summary of 3rd Quarter
2007 Operating & Financial results as a PDF file
that will be e-mailed to you. This Gold Stocks
Scorecard for the 3rd quarter presents in a concise
manner, revenue, earnings, ounces produced, ounces
sold during the quarter, and a forecast
of ounces produced in the 4th quarter based on
company forecasts or calculated by InsideMetals
based on company guidance for 2007 and actual
reported 2007 quarterly results.
Companies
that were profitable in the 3rd quarter should
report profits in the 4th quarter, or should have
had positive stock gains since the average price of
gold in the 4th quarter (London Fix) was $106 per
ounce higher than the average price of gold in the
3rd quarter (London Fix). The same is true for
silver producing companies as the price of silver
was $1.52 an ounce higher in the 4th quarter.
Silver prices in the 3rd quarter averaged $12.70 an
ounce (London Fix) while silver in the 4th quarter
averaged $14.22 an ounce (London Fix).
The data for the 34 Gold Producer Stocks is
presented as in the example below for Pan American
Silver Corp. Compiling this data for all 34
companies represents a significant number of hours
and can be purchased for only $49.95

At the beginning of the 3rd quarter PAAS could have
been purchased for ~$26.75 per share, and could have
been sold at year end for ~$35.00 per share. This
would have resulted in a 30.8% gain. On January
10th, the share price of PAAS reached as high as
$38.10. A PAAS share price of $37.00 would amount to
an additional gain of $2.00 per share or an
additional 7.4%. PAAS had forecast that its 4th
quarter production would exceed its 3rd quarter
production. PAAS has reported a record 4th quarter
production of 5.1 million ounces of silver on
January 23rd, and the stock moved back up $37.58
before a month end sell off.
There are several other companies identified in the
in the Quarterly Gold Stocks ScoreCard that should
produce better returns based on 4th quarter
production forecasts. To date 24 of the 34
InsideMetals' Gold Producer Stocks have reported
their 4th quarter production, and 15 of the 24
exceeded their production forecast. The average
stock price gain for these 15 companies from the
beginning of the year, to date, is up an average of
24%. The companies that didn't make their forecast
only had gains that averaged 8.%.
Purchase the Quarterly Gold Stocks ScoreCard before
the remaining 10 companies report their 4th quarter
production and earnings.
Investors interested in purchasing the Quarterly
Gold Stocks ScoreCard and receiving the PDF by
e-mail can check the Home Page of the
InsideMetals.com website for a Shopping Cart link.
Investor's who wish to order the PDF with their
credit card by telephone can call
Paid Subscriber's
Resources: The Business Summary for Gold
Field Ltd. (GFI) has been updated on the website to
reflect its reported operating and financial results
for the 1st quarter of 2008. GFI is on a June to
June fiscal year.
Paid subscribers can view this update by clicking
the "All Gold Stocks" button bar under the
"Subscribers Resource" area on the left
margin of the website. This will take the user to
the Index of listed gold companies where the
subscriber can then use the "Quick Nav
Bar" on the Index Page and then click on
"B" to view the Business Summary for the
requested company.
Potential subscribers can learn more about the
Reports and the "Gold Company Quick Nav
Bar" by going to "Tutorials" and
clicking on the "About the Reports Bar."
Clicking on the "How to use InsideMetals"
bar in the Tutorials section will explain many of
the useful features that InsideMetals.com offers to
both Free and Paid Subscribers.
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We
hope you have enjoyed our newsletter.
The newsletter will be published next on February 9,
2008
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